While an ornithologist might say spring starts when the sandhill cranes have returned from their wintering grounds in the southern US and northern Mexico, a cereal pathologist may look for aecia of Puccinia cornonata on buckthorn to tell that spring is underway. The picture below is from Steele County in SE Minnesota and confirms that the crown rust season of oats has started. That means that two of the three corners of the disease triangle are now in place. Favorable conditions for the spores released by these aecia will be the third and final corner of the disease triangle for crown rust to start in oats. This past week, however, the risk models indicate that conditions have been too dry and that the resulting dew periods have been too short for crown rust to successfully infect oats at this point. To use the risk model, simply select the MAWN/NDAWN weather station nearest to you, select the flag leaf growth stage, and look for the number of consecutive days ...